The 2024 Presidential Election: A Look at the Latest Polls

The State of the Race

After June's presidential debate, the gap widened, and as Biden ended his campaign, polls found him down three points nationally and four or more points in key swing states.

Key Points

* Biden is currently trailing in the polls * The electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Cook Political Report show Biden down in several key states * 538's 2024 presidential election forecast model shows Biden with a 34.9% chance of winning

Poll Results

According to a recent poll by the Pew Research Center, Biden's approval rating is currently at 41%, while Trump's is at 38%. A separate poll by ABC News and The Washington Post found that Biden is trailing Trump by 4 points among registered voters.

Analysis

The polls suggest that the 2024 presidential election will be closely contested. Biden will need to improve his approval ratings and gain ground in swing states if he wants to win.

The Electoral College

The electoral college is a body of electors chosen by the voters of each state. The electors then vote for the president and vice president. To win the presidency, a candidate must receive a majority of electoral votes.

Key Points

* There are 538 electoral votes * A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the presidency * The electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Cook Political Report show Biden down in several key states

Electoral Vote Count

The current electoral vote count is as follows: * Biden: 225 * Trump: 290 * Undecided: 23

Analysis

The electoral college ratings suggest that Biden will need to win several swing states if he wants to win the presidency.

The Key Issues

The key issues in the 2024 presidential election are likely to include the economy, healthcare, and climate change.

Key Points

* The economy is the top issue for voters * Healthcare and climate change are also important issues * Biden has proposed a number of plans to address these issues

Biden's Plans

Biden has proposed a number of plans to address the key issues in the 2024 presidential election, including: * The American Jobs Plan - A $2 trillion infrastructure plan * The American Families Plan - A $1.8 trillion plan to invest in education and childcare * The Build Back Better Act - A $1.75 trillion social spending plan

Analysis

Biden's plans are ambitious and would require significant investment. However, they are likely to be popular with voters, as they address the key issues that are important to them.